In an NSX Federation environment (version 4.2.x or higher), replacing an expired APH-AR (Appliance Proxy Hub - Async Replicator) certificate fails via the UI or the CARR script.
When the APH-AR certificate expires, the communication channel (Async Replicator) between the GM and LM collapses. NSX 4.2.x validation logic requires at least 2 nodes to be detected for federation certificate operations.