frr.log will reveal the following error message:Connection from #.#.#.# rejected due to admin shutdown
VMware NSX
The NSX datapath relies heavily on GENEVE TEP (Tunnel Endpoint) tunnels to synchronize state and forward overlay traffic. If an Edge node detects that it has zero active TEP tunnels, it assumes it has been isolated from the NSX fabric. To prevent split-brain scenarios or traffic blackholing, the Edge node triggers a failsafe that administratively shuts down its external interfaces, which forcefully drops the BGP peering.
Please refer below KB for the resolution steps
Newly created NSX BGP Neighbors are down (errors: "Connection from #.#.#.# rejected due to admin shutdown")